The Infinite Cost Of Lockdowns

This article caught my attention this morning.

https://gript.ie/decision-to-lockdown-caused-282-times-the-loss-of-years-of-life-says-economics-professor/

Lockdowns have been used by most governments around the world.  They are sold as effective and our only option.  We are constantly told the cost of not locking down is unacceptable.  This often repeated statement implies that governments have already done a rigorous cost benefit analysis of lockdowns.  Nothing could be further from the truth.

No Government has ever presented a cost benefit analysis to justify lockdowns.  This means they have either not been done or, they do not support the government position.  Since governments have been unable or unwilling to produce this analysis, Dr.  Allen has done his own.  You can find his paper here.

http://www.sfu.ca/~allen/LockdownReport.pdf

Dr. Allen finds that lockdowns cost 282 times more than the benefit they provide but even this does not tell the whole story.  It is easy to calculate the cost of the lockdowns and Dr. Allen explains his methodology.  Unfortunately for Dr. Allen it is not easy determining lockdown benefits.

Dr. Allen does a literature review of papers examining lockdown effectiveness.  He ignores any paper published soon after the first wave (season) of COVID.  This is done with good reason.  The early papers often showed large lockdown benefits but this is misleading.  These papers found benefits by comparing to simulations that we now know to be faulty.  Or, a benefit was found in countries where the virus simply had not taken hold before spring arrived and reduced infections naturally.  More recent studies simply have more and better data to work with.

The more recent studies all come to the same conclusion.  There is no correlation between lockdown severity and reduced mortality.  Some studies even found that harsh lockdowns increased the number of COVID deaths.  None of these academics were willing to state unequivocally that Lockdowns produced no benefits.  What they did say was this.  If lockdowns have a benefit it is so small that it cannot be seen in the data.

So how did Dr. Allen calculate the economic benefit of lockdowns if you can’t show that lockdowns saved any lives?  If you read to the end of his paper you will find Dr. Allen was forced to assume the benefit.  He assumed that deaths would have been 10% higher without lockdowns.  This is a number that cannot be backed up.  It seems Dr. Allen was not willing to believe the benefit was 0 or even negative.  A zero benefit would have made the cost/benefit ratio infinitely large.

Academics are starting to acknowledge what a horrible mistake lockdowns are.  They are all pain for little to no gain.  This should make lockdowns less attractive yet Canadian politicians continue to increase restrictions.  Lockdowns do not benefit the average Canadian but they must benefit Canadian Politicians.  The implications of that are chilling.

Truth in the Time of COVID

In a Time of Universal Deceit — Telling the Truth Is a Revolutionary Act

Dr. Scott Atlas is a revolutionary.  He was put on Trumps COVID task force a few months before the election.  Dr. Atlas was the only MD on the on the committee who understood the Hippocratic Oath, “first do no harm”.  This gave him a very different perspective than Fauci and the media.  For them the goal seemed to be to do the most harm possible.

Dr. Atlas was strongly against lockdowns.  He recognized how harmful lockdowns were and that they were unlikely to help.  Being the voice of reason on a task force with the unstated goal of getting rid of Donald Trump did not go over well.  The media relentlessly attacked Scott Atlas even though they could not point to a single time he misquoted the science.

Scott Atlas resigned from the COVID task force after dominion voting systems gave the election to Joe Biden.  That was not good enough for the media.  They continued to attack Scott Atlas for the heinous crime of accurately explaining science in a way people might understand.  Recently Dr. Atlas described the relentless media campaign to discredit him in this speech.

https://stanfordreview.org/scott-atlas-the-last-word/

He also spoke about the devastating long term effects of the lockdowns.  Here is a quote from the speech.

We know we have not yet seen the full extent of the damage from lockdowns, because it will last for years, even decades. Perhaps that is why lockdowns were not recommended in previous pandemic analyses, even for infections with far higher lethality.

Lockdowns are not a cure and are just as deadly as the disease.  To back up his argument about lockdown ineffectiveness he referenced this paper by his Stanford Colleagues.

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33400268/

After looking for health benefits to a lockdown they were forced to conclude the following.

While small benefits cannot be excluded, we do not find significant benefits on case growth of more restrictive NPIs. Similar reductions in case growth may be achievable with less-restrictive interventions.

The benefits, if they exist, were too small to be seen. Unfortunately the harm from the lockdowns is very evident.  It will take generations to fix the economic damage and we will never get back the lives lost to suicide and health care rationing.

I have been over this ground before but it is worth repeating.  Lockdowns do not work because;

  1. Quarantining healthy people does not affect the spread of a virus. You cannot spread what you do not have.
  2. Governments chose to close businesses that were not spreading the virus. Sick people do not tend to go to bars, restaurants, and hair salons.  They stay at home without any government mandate compelling them to.

Even the media is now forced to admit these businesses were not a problem.

Analysis Shows Restaurants, Gyms, Hair Salons Were Not A Significant Source Of COVID Transmissions, But There Are Caveats | The Daily Wire

Don’t believe them when they talk about caveats.  Masks and distancing did not work anywhere else but the “journalist” wants you to believe they might have miraculously worked in gyms and hair salons.  Or more laughably in restaurants where 90% of the time people are not wearing masks.  The media is finally ready to admit that the government may have had no reason to close these businesses.  They are just not ready to admit how they helped governments shatter lives.

The same media that Pilloried Scott Atlas are now admitting that he was right.  The media is eager to put distance between themselves and Governments that imposed lockdowns.  Do not let them get away with it.  They were eager participants in the conspiracy to destroy lives.

Despite the Evidence Governments Continue to Deny Natural Immunity

In March of 2020 we were told that COVID was the end of times.  The virus was highly infectious and inordinately deadly.  The media was scaring people by reporting thousands of new cases every day.  Most people were afraid.  So afraid they were willing to surrender their rights to the government for protection from the virus.  Their fear blinded them to the fact that nothing the government did changed the course of the epidemic.

Few questioned why the government chose to “protect” the population by forcing millions of people into unemployment and printing billions of new currencies.  Anyone who did was branded as dangerous and selfish.  These dangerous and selfish people were of course the independent thinkers the government worked diligently to identify and suppress.

Independent thinkers are different from the general population in 2 very important ways.

  1. They can maintain rationality in stressful situations.
  2. Their ability to do grade school math.

Grade school math was the key to Understanding just how big this farce really was.  A large number divided by a much larger number is a small percentage.  The large number of infections was still a small percentage of the population.  Why were more people not getting sick?

Last April 83% of the people on the diamond princess did not get sick, despite being quarantined in close contact for weeks.  Independent thinkers to postulated that most people are naturally immune to the Sars CoV2 virus.  This completely rational conclusion has since been confirmed by multiple studies including this one.

https://insight.jci.org/articles/view/146316

This is a Canadian study published 2 months ago.  They tested only a limited number of people but were surprised to find natural immunity in up to 90% of the adults.  Below is an excerpt from their conclusions.

In conclusion, this study reveals common preexisting, broadly reactive SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in uninfected adults.

2 months ago, it was confirmed again that most people do not need to be vaccinated.  The Canadian Government has ignored this Canadian produced science.  They have ignored all science in the last 14 months.  Canadians remain locked down because of the government’s steadfast refusal to “follow the science”.  At this point I almost feel silly repeating this but, it is not about the virus.  Canadians better soon wake up.

Jason Kenney Goes Full Tyrant. Why Doesn’t This Bother More People?

Kevin Johnston was arrested in Calgary Saturday morning for attending an illegal gathering.

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/canada/calgary-mayoral-candidate-kevin-j-johnston-arrested-after-illegal-public-gathering-police/ar-BB1gMgOl

Kevin Johnston is a candidate for Calgary Mayor.  He has made the news for being bombastic and promising to remove COVID restrictions.  He also promised to punish those who over stepped their authority imposing the restrictions.  Without a doubt, Johnston is a polarizing figure.  Reaction to his arrest has been mixed.  The news anchor this morning was positively jubilant about his arrest.

That is how far our country has fallen.  No one should be happy about this arrest.  People need to forget the name and look objectively at what happened.

All gatherings in Alberta are illegal right now.  Bizarre but true.  This should never happen in a democratic society, yet here we are.  By outlawing every gathering the government has made thousands of citizens criminals.  Do you really think that Kevin Johnson attended the only gathering that happened Saturday morning in Alberta?  There were thousands of “illegal” gatherings in Alberta Saturday morning.  How come the only person arrested was Kevin Johnston?

A better question is how did the police know that Kevin Johnston attended a gathering?  The answer is obvious.  The police were following him.  Let that sink in for a minute.  Jason Kenney is using the police to surveil and arrest politicians that do not conform to his will.  This happens in third world dictatorships, and now it happens in Alberta.

Jason Kenney is destroying Alberta.  We are now officially a banana republic.  I don’t care what you think about Kevin Johnston, there is no way that this should have happened.  Jason Kenney stated that Kevin Johnston is a lunatic.  If that is the case, why is the evil troll so afraid of what Johnston might say?

The wrong politician is prison right now.

The Deadly Consequences of Government Lies.

Every time a true believer wants to convince me how wrong I am about COVID they tell me a story about a young healthy person dying.  Of course they do not know the “healthy” young person they are describing.  The information is coming from the news.  The media desperately searches for stories of young people dying of COVID.  The task the government has given them is to convince the public everyone is equally at risk from COVID.  The Media has taken that assignment very seriously.

The fact is that young healthy people dying from COVID is exceptionally rare.  The Stories the media trumpets invariable involve someone in another country who turns out to be in very poor health.  Unfortunately something that is becoming far less rare is young healthy people dying from the vaccine treatments.

People still do not understand that the COVID vaccine treatments are a medical procedure.  Any medical procedure caries a risk.  The question is the risk/reward of subjecting yourself to the treatment.  If you have a 10% chance of dying from a disease but a 1% chance of dying from the treatment the risk reward is quite good even though the treatment could kill you.  Currently Governments are coercing people in to getting the Vaccine treatment without explaining the risk/reward trade off.

I know right now the true believers are dismissing me as a crank.  They will be quick to point out that the news constantly quotes experts who tell you your chance of dying from the virus is higher than your chance of dying from the vaccine treatment.  If these “experts are telling the truth then this is very hard to explain.

https://nationalfile.com/video-fauci-fda-director-admit-40-50-of-nih-and-fda-employees-are-refusing-covid-vaccine/

Why are the people who know the most about the vaccines treatments the least likely to take it?  They obviously know something that you do not.  The “Experts” are being very deceptive.  It is not what they are telling you it is what they are not telling you.

Here is what they are not telling you.  Your chance of dying from the virus is extremely low in the first place.  The Younger you are the more remote your chance of death.  When they quote the risk of the virus they talk about the overall risk even though almost all the deaths are people over 70 in poor health.  The Vaccine treatment poses a low risk to everyone.  The virus only poses a high risk to ill elderly.

The risk/reward for ill elderly people is far different than risk/reward for young healthy people yet the government wants everyone to be vaccinated treated.  This is insane.  In my opinion anyone under 60 in good health has no compelling reason to take the vaccine treatment.  75% of the country does not need this.  But, you might ask what the harm in vaccinating treating everyone is?

For starters most people I know are not taking the vaccine treatment willingly.  They are taking in the belief that the government will not give them back their rights if they don’t.  This is not consent.  If you kidnap someone and promise to let them go in return for sex it is still rape.  The Government is raping everyone right now.  Hyperbole I know, but the analogy fits.

Coercion is bad enough but the larger problem is that we are wasting a scarce resource.  Canada does not have enough supply.  Right now 38.9% of Canadians have received one dose but only 3.3% of people are fully vaccinated treated.  The Prime Moron has bungled vaccine treatment procurement.  We do not have enough to vaccinate treat everyone.  We do have enough to vaccinate treat everyone who really needs it.  Unfortunately, that is not what we are doing.

The premiers and the Prime Moron put all their eggs in the vaccination basket.  Instead of exploring all options they jailed us in our homes.  We were promised pardons after enough people are vaccinated treated.  Their plans depend on experimental chemicals that they do not possess.  To cover their incompetence they are giving everyone one dose of a two dose system to make the numbers look better.  All of the manufacturers have issued statements condemning this practice.

We are misapplying an experimental procedure.  That should send chills down everyone’s spine.  Worse we are doing this to cover incompetence and lying.  That is the problem with lying.  Lies tend to compound themselves.  COVID is only a high risk for ill elderly.  The government lied about this, they told us everyone was at risk.  They lied to us to facilitate removing our rights.  Now the government is lying, again, to cover the original lie.

38.9% of Canadians have not been vaccinated.  3.3% of Canadians have been treated as per the manufacturer’s recommendation.  35.6% of Canadians have had an experimental treatment misapplied.  They are guinea pigs in a horrible, unethical, experiment.

Governments are Moving to Crush Independent Thinkers

3 days ago in my post “The Madness of COVID Crowds” I discussed the techniques tyrants use to subdue the public.  These techniques have been used many times by many tyrants.  The reason they continue to be used is they are tried and true.  They will work on the majority of people.  They do not, however, work on everyone.  There are always independent thinkers that will refuse to be deluded.  If you are reading this Blog you are one of those independent thinkers.

Independent thinkers are the only real threats to government.  They can predict and control the behavior of useful Idiots.  Their only control over independent thinkers is marginalization and violence.  It is not a coincidence that governments all over the world are introducing legislation to censor the internet.  You cannot marginalize independent thinkers if you do not control the narrative.  The Communist tyrants currently running our country have introduced Bill C10 to do just that.

Bill C10 is a transparent attack on free speech.  Our Prime Moron has defended the bill by insinuating anyone who opposes it is a conspiracy theorist.

 

I agree completely.  I mean what reason could you have not to trust the only Canadian Prime minister ever convicted for ethics violations?  Obviously a child raised by an unrepentant liar and a drug addled lunatic would inevitable become a paragon of virtue.  Throw in that he is likely the spawn of a communist Dictator and you have the perfect human.

Governments are trying to marginalize independent thinkers by not allowing them to communicate on the internet.  But governments know that the internet is a hydra.  Absolute control is difficult to impossible.  That leaves Violence as their remaining option.  Violence is easiest with a weapon.  The government’s weapons are the police and courts.

On paper the police and courts are an independent arm of government.  In practice this does not happen for one simple reason.  Judges and police chiefs are appointed by politicians.  There was a time when politicians made appointments based on merit; those days are well behind us.  No one gets a senior judicial or police appointment now without the correct political allegiance.  That is why we have seen such a rapid deterioration of these institutions.

In the past week we have seen provincial governments signal that they are preparing for violence.  They have asked for and received injunctions barring political protests.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/nova-scotia/province-gets-injunction-to-block-planned-anti-mask-rally-1.6026894

Incredibly in Alberta this was done in secret.

https://truthcomestolight.com/government-restraining-order-against-peaceful-protest-is-a-naked-attack-on-albertans-freedoms/

Could it be any clearer that the government completely distains the constitution and citizens?  Do you still think this is about a virus?

Unfortunately some police agencies like the Calgary Police service have signaled that they are all in for the tyranny.  I am going to an illegal protest today.  The Police Chief has no doubt instructed the rank and file to arrest dangerous free thinkers like me.  Thankfully, it is not the police Chief that arrests people.  Whether I get arrested will be determined by the rank and file.  Police Chiefs are unelected politicians but the average officer is not.  Most who become police officers do not want to terrorize people they are supposed to protect.

Unfortunately we have already seen that some officers are willing to enforce clearly unconstitutional orders.  To those officers inclined to cooperate with this tyranny, I have something you should think about.  The Pandemic is over; we have not seen any significant excess deaths since the spring of 2020.

So why should any police officer think about this?  Let me explain.  Last March we did have a problem.  Yet at the peak of the pandemic police were instructed to allow Black Lives Matter protests.  A central theme of these protests was to defund police.  That is a cute way of saying we should eliminate police officers.  The media enthusiastically repeated this message.  They also believe there should be no police officers.

During the peak of the pandemic police officers were ordered to stand down.  Police watched as protesters advocated for the elimination of their jobs.  This spring after the pandemic is over, the situation is far different.  Police are ordered to enforce unconstitutional orders.  Orders directed at people, like me, who overwhelmingly support the police.  Ordinary Police officers need to understand that the politicians and police bureaucracy hate them as much as they hate us.

This is not about a virus.  The police should not be a weapon the government can use to silence people who know that.

Vaccines, Cases, and Variants all go Hand in Hand

Geert Vanden Bossche is a European virologist.  He believes that the Vaccination programs are enabling the formation of variants.  Here is an excerpt from his open letter to the WHO.

As mass vaccination campaigns have started in the vulnerable population, not only vaccinated subjects but also not yet vaccinated younger age groups will become a breeding ground for new infectious variants. There can be no doubt that continued mass vaccination campaigns will enable new, more infectious viral variants to become increasingly dominant and ultimately result in a dramatic incline in new cases despite enhanced vaccine coverage rates. There can be no doubt either that this situation will soon lead to complete resistance of circulating variants to the current vaccines. This is certainly not what would be expected by those who claim that enhanced and accelerated mass vaccination is going to diminish circulation of new dominant variants and will, therefore, further reduce viral infection rates and flatten morbidity and mortality curves. 

You can see the whole letter here.

DVM, PhD | Geert Vanden Bossche

Dr. Vanden Bossshe is not the only virologist that thinks this way.  I have read similar opinions from others, but I confess I still do not follow the logic.  Whether I follow the logic or not what they are saying is this.  Vaccinating while the virus is actively spreading is not a good idea.

Many will find this opinion controversial, but it does fit the data.  I have posted about how infections surge after vaccinations start.  Disagreements are the norm not the exception in science.  This will be quite surprising for anyone who listens to popular media, but science is never settled.  The minute the science is settled it becomes Engineering.

Alberta is one of the places where infections and variants exploded with the advent of vaccinations.  Thankfully, these variants are not particularly deadly.  It seems the more variants we have the fewer people that die.

 

Notice that until May 1st the prevalence of variants followed closely with Vaccinations.  For almost 2 weeks now they are no longer tracking.  I do not know if that is real or if someone at AHS finally noticed how embarrassing this is becoming.  Fortunately for AHS, figure 22 does not track all variants just variants of Concern.  After May 1st it appears that our government cannot find many variants to be concerned about.

Since deaths quickly dropped to zero (effectively) soon after the variants appeared, I have never been concerned about variants.  I find it very unsettling to agree with the government on anything but here we are.  If the Government now finally agrees with my assessment that variants are not a problem, why are we still in lockdown?  Can we finally admit this is not about the virus?

This woman poetically agrees that this is not about a virus.  Enjoy.

 

A Letter to my MLA

Peter Guthrie is my MLA (Member of the Legislative Assembly).  He is a member of the current ruling party The United Conservative Party (UCP).  I did not realize when I voted for Peter that he is quite the magician.  After he got elected and access to his government pension he disappeared.

Peter has stood by and watched as his party has gone on a 14 month crime spree.  Apparently Peter believes if we can’t find his finger prints we cannot convict him.  I wrote to him today to explain that he is mistaken.  His silence makes him complicit.  Below is the email I sent.

 

Yesterday Peter Loewen finally decided to take a stand for individual rights.  It is way past time for you to do the same.  The following are the first 2 clauses from the Alberta Bill of rights.

  1. It is hereby recognized and declared that in Alberta there exist without discrimination by reason of race, national origin, colour, religion, sexual orientation, sex, gender identity or gender expression, the following human rights and fundamental freedoms, namely:
    1. the right of the individual to liberty, security of the person and enjoyment of property, and the right not to be deprived thereof except by due process of law.
    2. the right of the individual to equality before the law and the protection of the law
    3. freedom of religion
    4. freedom of speech
    5. freedom of assembly and association
    6. freedom of the press
    7. the right of parents to make informed decisions respecting the education of their children.
  2. Every law of Alberta shall, unless it is expressly declared by an Act of the Legislature that it operates notwithstanding the Alberta Bill of Rights, be so construed and applied as not to abrogate, abridge or infringe or to authorize the abrogation, abridgment or infringement of any of the rights or freedoms herein recognized and declared.

The COVID restrictions all violate the Alberta Bill of Rights.  The UCP under Jason Kenney has been in flagrant violation of the law for 14 months.  During the entire time you have sat silently on the sidelines.  You can not absolve your guilt by disappearing into the woodwork.  If you have not stood up and voiced your objections, you are part of the criminality.  Some day there will be trials and people will be held accountable.  You need to ask yourself this.  Do you want to be a witness or a defendant?  Do not let Jason Kenney take you to prison with him.  Stand up now.  The Lockdown must end immediately.

 

I would encourage everyone to send a similar letter to their MLA.  We are talking about whether or not our country will descend completely in to tyranny.  No elected representative should be allowed to stand on the sidelines.  Not even a great magician Like Peter Guthrie.

UCP MLAs Need to Decide. Do they Want to be Witnesses or Defendants

This letter lifts my spirits, but will it result in anything different?  He speaks about rebuilding the economy, but does he understand that means lifting the lockdowns and pledging never again starting the downward spiral of restrictions?  Does he realize the new person must fire Deena Hinshaw?

Jason Kenney has been operating outside the law for 14 months now.  It is way past time for MLAs to stop cheering and start standing up for our rights.

Below are the first 2 clauses of the Alberta Charter of rights.  Read them and ask yourself if anything the UCP has done during this “pandemic” did not violate the bill of rights.

  1. It is hereby recognized and declared that in Alberta there exist without discrimination by reason of race, national origin, colour, religion, sexual orientation, sex, gender identity or gender expression, the following human rights and fundamental freedoms, namely:
    1. the right of the individual to liberty, security of the person and enjoyment of property, and the right not to be deprived thereof except by due process of law.
    2. the right of the individual to equality before the law and the protection of the law
    3. freedom of religion
    4. freedom of speech
    5. freedom of assembly and association
    6. freedom of the press
    7. the right of parents to make informed decisions respecting the education of their children.
  2. Every law of Alberta shall, unless it is expressly declared by an Act of the Legislature that it operates notwithstanding the Alberta Bill of Rights, be so construed and applied as not to abrogate, abridge or infringe or to authorize the abrogation, abridgment or infringement of any of the rights or freedoms herein recognized and declared.

If we get rid of Jason Kenney and the new leadership does not immediately remove all restrictions, then we have accomplished nothing.  We have just traded one unlawful administration for another.  Everyone needs to write their MLA and inform them that it is time to stand up and be counted.  They have been silent as Jason Kenney went on a 14-month crime spree.  Their refusal to stand up for the law makes them equally liable.   There will be trials when this is over.  Do they want to be witnesses or defendants?

They can not keep us on our knees forever.

 

The COVID Era, When Police do not Believe in Policing and Racists do not believe in Racism.

We now must follow all the rules we are gathering to protest.  This Province could not be more broken.

The Calgary Police service is horribly misnamed.  They have no interest in policing or service.  The only task they perform is enforcing the Evil Dictates of this waste of human flesh.

 

If you do not agree with Naheed Nenshi then you are a racist.  I guess I am a racist.  I am a little confused though.  This is the oxford dictionary definition of racism.

The inability or refusal to recognize the rights, needs, dignity, or value of people of particular races or geographical origins. 

I do not know how Oxford got that so wrong.  According to the preening purple peacock the real definition of racism is this.

The Unwillingness to take scientific advice from a habitual liar with no understanding of science.

If that is the new definition of racism, then I am guilty as charged.