Politicians are the Threat, not Variants

I have not looked at Canada as a whole for a while so yesterday I checked the Canadian numbers and I noticed something very interesting.  Cases are increasing rapidly in Canada right now.  Presumably due to new variants.  This rapid increase in cases caused several premiers to ramp up lockdowns.  Of course these were premiers with populations that approve of tyranny.

I did not find it interesting that politicians who could use cases as an excuse for tyranny did so.  What I found interesting is that while cases are going up deaths continue to fall.  See below.

Of course Cases and deaths don’t follow each other on the same day.  Deaths always lag behind cases.  So are we on the cusp of increasing deaths?  To figure that out I have time shifted the curves.  When I do that for last season I found that deaths lagged cases by 10 days.

Deaths rose and fell 10 days after the cases counts.  When I do the same thing for the current season I get a 16 day lag.  With increased testing we seem to be identifying cases 6 days earlier.

Cases have been rising since March 7^th (the red line).  With a 16 day lag, deaths should have started rising 2 weeks ago and they did not.  Deaths have continued to fall.

It is hard to tell with any certainty where the 2 curves diverge but it appeared to start in early February (the green line).  That made me wonder when variants were first identified in Canada.  I did not find that date but I did find this from Ontario.

In early February Variants started to increase rapidly in Ontario.   Correlation is not causation but the 2 line up nicely.  Could it be that the variants are more contagious and less lethal?  All Viruses mutate.  That is why the flu shot changes every year.  It is not uncommon for the new variants to become less lethal.  It is just natural selection.  A virus that does not kill as often, spreads more widely.

The interesting thing is that this is not just confined to Canada.  Finland, Norway, France, Germany, Sweden, and the Netherlands are all seeing increased cases without increasing deaths.  In fact every one of those countries now has average or below average deaths for this time of year.

The case plots come from worldometer and the deaths come from Euromomo. You can see them at the end of the post.

Variants are the new boogieman.  We will never get our rights back because of the threat of variants.  This whole farce started because of a viral threat looming on the horizon.  The original SARS COV 2 was going to infect and kill us all.  That did not happen.  What did happen was a bunch of evil bastards stole our rights and our money.

Now those same evil bastards tell us we need to remain locked down.  The lockdowns need to be ramped up due to how contagious the new variants are.  Of course the focus is now on the cases.  Deaths will surely follow cases; we are told.  The tiny problem with that logic is that deaths should already be increasing and they are not.

Of course logic is not the strong suit of many politicians.  Below is the front page of today’s Calgary Sun.  The preening Purple moron is very worried that people are not dying.

Evil or stupid it does not matter.  Nenshi and every other elected official in this country needs to go.  Then we start with the career Bureaucrats who are really in charge.